Prognosis of HIV/AIDS

Life Expectancy and Survival Rates

Average life years lost from HIV/AIDS: 35.7 years (SEER); 37.9 for HIV in North Carolina¹. ...see also deaths and HIV/AIDS

Deaths and Mortality Rates

Deaths from HIV/AIDS: 15,245 deaths in 2000 (NIAID); 14,802 deaths reported in USA 1999 (NVSR Sep 2001)

Estimated mortality rate for HIV/AIDS from prevalence and deaths statistics:

• Deaths: 15,244 (USA annual deaths calculated from this data: 15,245 deaths in 2000 (NIAID); 14,802 deaths reported in USA 1999 (NVSR Sep 2001))
• Incidence: 899,999 (USA prevalence calculated from this data: 900,000 Americans (NIAID, quarter are unaware)
• 1.7% (ratio of deaths to prevalence).
• See also Deaths and HIV/AIDS and Overview of HIV/AIDS.

Estimated mortality rate for HIV/AIDS from incidence and deaths statistics:

• Deaths: 15,244 (USA annual deaths calculated from this data: 15,245 deaths in 2000 (NIAID); 14,802 deaths reported in USA 1999 (NVSR Sep 2001))
• Incidence: 40,000 (USA annual incidence calculated from this data: approximately 40,000 annual cases in USA (NIAID)
• 38.1% (ratio of deaths to incidence).
• See also Deaths and HIV/AIDS and Overview of HIV/AIDS.

Complications:

Complications of HIV/AIDS may include:

• Abscess
• Kaposi's Sarcoma
• Mycobacterium avium complex (MAC)
• Encephalitis
• Meningitis
• more complications...»

Complications of HIV/AIDS from the Diseases Database include:

• Mononeuritis multiplex
• Cell mediated immunity impairment
• Cachexia
• Progressive multifocal leucoencephalopathy
• Immunoglobulin levels raised (plasma or serum)
• more complications...»

See also complications of HIV/AIDS.

Prognosis of HIV/AIDS Discussion

Backgrounder - HIV Infection in Infants and Children: NIAID (Excerpt)

Researchers have observed two general patterns of illness in HIV-infected children. About 20 percent of children develop serious disease in the first year of life; most of these children die by age 4 years.

The remaining 80 percent of infected children have a slower rate of disease progression, many not developing the most serious symptoms of AIDS until school entry or even adolescence. A recent report from a large European registry of HIV-infected children indicated that half of the children with perinatally acquired HIV disease were alive at age 9. Another study, of 42 perinatally HIV-infected children who survived beyond 9 years of age, found about one-quarter of the children to be asymptomatic with relatively intact immune systems. (Source: excerpt from Backgrounder - HIV Infection in Infants and Children: NIAID)

HIV Infection in Women, NIAID Fact Sheet: NIAID (Excerpt)

Women whose HIV infections are detected early and receive appropriate treatment survive as long as infected men. There are several studies that have shown HIV-infected women to have shorter survival times than men. Women may be less likely than men to be diagnosed early, which may account for shorter survival times.

In an analysis of several studies involving more than 4,500 people with HIV infection, women were one-third more likely than men to die within the study period. The investigators could not definitively identify the reasons for excess mortality among women in this study, but they speculated that poorer access to or use of health care resources among HIV-infected women as compared to men, domestic violence, homelessness, and lack of social supports for women may have been important factors. (Source: excerpt from HIV Infection in Women, NIAID Fact Sheet: NIAID)

HIV, AIDS, and Older People - Age Page - Health Information: NIA (Excerpt)

Older people diagnosed with HIV/AIDS do not live as long as younger people who have the virus. It is important to get tested early. The earlier you begin medical treatment, the better your chances for living longer. (Source: excerpt from HIV, AIDS, and Older People - Age Page - Health Information: NIA)

Death Statistics for HIV/AIDS

The following are statistics from various sources about deaths related to HIV/AIDS:

• 14,175 deaths in USA 2001 (American Heart Association, 2004)
• 16,371 deaths from AIDS in the US 2002 (HIV/AIDS Surveillance Report, 2002)
• AIDS ranked number one cause of death for black adults aged 25-44 in the USA (CBCF Health Organisation, 2004)
• 21.8 million deaths since start of epidemic to 2001 worldwide (Report on the Global HIV/AIDS Epidemic, UNAIDS, 2002)
• 1 in 3 gay African American men in urban areas USA 2001 (CBCF Health Organisation, 2004)
• 20 million deaths so far worldwide (CBCF Health Organisation, 2004)
• more death statistics...»

HIV/AIDS: Research More

• HIV/AIDS: Introduction
• Deaths: HIV/AIDS
• Symptoms: HIV/AIDS
• Complications: HIV/AIDS
• Treatments: HIV/AIDS

About prognosis:

The 'prognosis' of HIV/AIDS usually refers to the likely outcome of HIV/AIDS. The prognosis of HIV/AIDS may include the duration of HIV/AIDS, chances of complications of HIV/AIDS, probable outcomes, prospects for recovery, recovery period for HIV/AIDS, survival rates, death rates, and other outcome possibilities in the overall prognosis of HIV/AIDS. Naturally, such forecast issues are by their nature unpredictable.

 » Next page: Types of HIV/AIDS

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